October/November 2007 |
Chinese Currency Bills Move Forward |
By a resounding 20-1 vote, the Senate
Finance Committee approved a bill that
would permit the administration to apply
trade sanctions to countries that keep
their currency values at a level the
Treasury Department deems too low. The
lone dissenting vote came from Sen. Maria
Cantwell (D-WA) who said the United States
should continue to press for economic
reforms in China through diplomatic channels
and worried about possible retaliation.
Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus
won support from those who had called
the legislation too weak by shortening
deadlines for decisions by the Administration
and allowing Congress to override a decision
by the president o waive remedies provided
in the bill. The original legislation
would have given offending countries
180 days to adopt policies to correct
an undervalued currency, before remedies
including antidumping duties would apply.
That was shortened to 90 days in the
final version.
The president has the authority to waive
those consequences if it is determined
that imposing remedies would run counter
to United States vital economic interest.
The president then must decide after
360 days whether to continue that waiver
and whether to take additional action,
such as launching a WTO dispute or intervening
in the currency markets.
The final language provides that if Congress
passes a joint resolution of disapproval,
it can overturn both presidential waivers.
That is stronger than language in the
initial bill, which would have provided
only for a concurrent (non-binding) resolution.
The joint resolution of disapproval could
be introduced only after the second presidential
determination, 360 days after a country
is identified as requiring priority action.
The legislation is a response to the
belief by manufacturing groups and many
economists that undervalued currencies
in China and Japan give those countries’ exports
an unfair advantage.
The bill aims to make it easier for Treasury
to identify harmful currency practices
by changing the standard under current
law from currency “manipulation” to
currency that is “fundamentally
misaligned.” It proscribes a range
of penalties for countries deemed to
be out-of-line with market-based exchange
rates, including boosting antidumping
duties, blocking multilateral bank financing,
and launching a World Trade Organization
dispute.
A Senate Finance Committee aide said
the vote margin puts the panel in a “strong
position moving forward” as it
seeks to reconcile its bill with the
Banking Committee bill.
The Senate Banking Committee approved
legislation that gives the Administration
more tools to pressure China to let its
yuan rise in value, as Sen. Jim Bunning
(R-KY) lost his bid to add tariff remedies
to the package. Bunning’s much-anticipated
amendment, which included a provision
to treat exchange rate imbalances as
countervailable subsidies, fell on a
14-7 vote.
Banking Committee Chairman Christopher
Dodd (D-CT) persuaded most committee
Democrats to vote against the amendment,
contending that because it included provisions
that are in the Finance Committee’s
jurisdiction, it would have slowed efforts
to bring the measure to the Senate floor.
The Bunning amendment also included a
provision from a bill reported by the
Finance Committee that would allow the
Commerce Department to boost antidumping
duties against countries whose currencies
are deemed to be misaligned.
Passed on a 17-4 vote, the currency bill
would strengthen the Treasury Department’s
ability to identify countries that are
manipulating their currencies by removing
a provision in current law that requires
Treasury officials to initiate negotiations
with such countries, if those negotiations
are not successful after nine months,
the department would be authorized to
launch a dispute case at the World Trade
Organization (WTO).
Dodd said after the markup it was up
to Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV)
to decide how to resolve differences
between the Finance Committee bill and
Banking Committee version. Dodd said
he hoped that one bill will come to the
floor but made clear he believed he has
the upper hand in terms of jurisdiction.
Sen. Charles Schumer (D-NY), one of four
authors of the Finance Committee-passed
bill, said he hoped the two bills can
be blended.
The spate of legislation to beef up trade
remedies prompted the Club for Growth
to unveil a petition warning that “retaliatory
tariffs on China are tantamount to taxing
ourselves as a punishment.” More
than 1,000 economists signed the petition
to urge Congress not to impose trade
measures against China.
At the Club for Growth news conference,
economist and private equity investor
John Rutledge said fixed exchange rates
are important to the stability of China’s
economy, and that efforts by Treasury
Secretary Paulson to prod China into
letting the yuan’s value rise risk
pushing China into recession.
Meanwhile, a US Treasury official elaborated
on the Bush Administration’s criticism
of currency legislation moving through
the Senate, as House lawmakers told Administration
officials to just accept that legislation
to deal with alleged Chinese trade abuses
is on its way.
At a House Ways and Means Trade Subcommittee
hearing on US-China trade issues, Treasury
Deputy Assistant Secretary Mark Sobel
reiterated the assertion from top Bush
Cabinet officials that legislation to
address the yuan would undermine efforts
to move China toward a more market-based
currency. He criticized in particular
an element of the bill approved by the
Senate Finance Committee that would require
Treasury to identify an equilibrium exchange
rate that would be used to adjust antidumping
margins. “There is no reliable
or precise method for estimating the
proper value of an economy’s foreign
exchange rate or measuring accurately
a currency’s undervaluation,” Sobel
told Ways and Means members.
Sobel called another provision in the
Senate Finance bill – to require
the United States to oppose International
Monetary Fund reforms, if they would
result in greater voting shares for China
or other countries with misaligned currencies – “detrimental
to US interests.” Finally, he
said a part of the bill that would call
on the Federal Reserve to intervene to
offset currency interventions by others
would have little effect on the yuan,
which is not traded internationally.
Additionally, three Bush Cabinet secretaries
sent strongly worded letters to Finance
Committee Chairman Baucus, Banking Committee
Chairman Dodd, Majority Leader Reid,
and Republican Senators Charles Grassley
(IA), Richard Shelby (AL) and Mitch McConnell
(KY) stating the Administration’s
opposition to both the currency bill
approved by the Finance Committee (S
1607) and the currency bill passed by
the Banking Committee (S 1677).
The letter, signed by Treasury Secretary
Paulson, Commerce Secretary Gutierrez,
and USTR Schwab, sympathizes that Members
of Congress want to communicate their
concerns about China’s currency,
but says the legislation “is not
in the best interests of the United States.” The
Bush officials warn that the approach
of those bills “would substantially
weaken the position of the United States
to achieve substantial economic reforms
in China and around the world.” Instead,
the “best way to achieve results
is through continued intense dialogue
and engagement with China bilaterally
and through multilateral institutions,
coupled with appropriate reliance on
WTO litigation and WTO-consistent trade
remedies available under US
law.”
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